The Indians are giving ownership fewer reasons to roll the dice at the trade deadline, sports columnist Bud Shaw writes.
CLEVELAND, Ohio -- On May 23, when the Indians' stock hit its most recent high, they led the division by seven games. Since then, they've looked like the worst investment since the vacation timeshare.
That's the basic question for General Manager Chris Antonetti and the Dolans. Are the Indians a pretty sure thing or a desperate roll of the dice to make the postseason? Five shutout losses in the last 17 games might make that sound like a trick question. Playoffs? Playoffs?
If the answer is not convincingly affirmative that this team could play in October and be realistically expected to do something once they get there, management would be foolish to sell off any top prospects on the if-come.
Nobody wants to hear anything that could be remotely translated as "Wait till next year." Remember, though, when this season began many wanted to see Lonnie Chisenhall at third base regardless of the team's chances, or, better yet, because of the team's chances.
Chisenhall was a civic cause. Anyone now want to give him up for two or three months of Vladimir Guerrero?
The way things are developing (or not), adding to the roster could well be a moot point by late July. This latest version of the Indians can't hit enough to suggest that another right-handed bat -- Guerrero, Michael Cuddyer -- could make much of a difference. What we have seen in the first few months of the season is not a large enough sample to rule out a turnaround for two guys who absolutely must hit for the Indians to be an October threat -- Shin-Soo Choo and Carlos Santana. However, that point is quickly approaching.
Not to single those two out. Matt LaPorta's 10 weeks in the lineup may not be alarming, but it's not especially promising, either. Since we've seen so much more from Michael Brantley, let's agree to call it worrisome. It's fair to ask, "Is 15-18 homers and a .250 average going to be all there is with LaPorta?"
You wonder if management doesn't already have serious doubts about the first-place pedigree of this bunch. Replacing Orlando Cabrera with Cord Phelps is an atypical move for a team in first place, especially when the decision cuts the playing time of a player the Indians consistently applaud for his veteran presence.
Cabrera has a knack of playing for teams that go to the postseason, then don't invite him back. Whatever that's about, watching Cabrera play all those consecutive games on artificial turf made him look 46, not 36.
The loss of Alex White didn't cost the Indians a fifth starter. He pitched more like a No. 3 on a team whose alleged ace, Fausto Carmona, looks like he needs a month in Columbus to get himself straight.
The Indians are building something. The last month says the hard-hat zone is going to extend beyond this year.
Would there be a backlash if ownership doesn't do something dramatic to improve the roster in 2011? It's hard to imagine a more negative environment than existed around the club and the Dolans when the season began. How could it be any worse after one more non-playoff season?
Attendance improved for a simple reason in May. People liked the product. They saw some hope in its long-term possibilities.
The only way the Dolans waste an opportunity with fans is if they're sitting atop the division in late July and still don't improve their roster. With the direction they're currently heading, that won't be an issue.