We're back every Wednesday searching for the Browns long-term franchise quarterback of the future, wherever he may be.
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CLEVELAND, Ohio -- One snap (delay of game) into his NFL career Cody Kessler didn't look like the future.
Three snaps in (fumbled exchange) he didn't look like it. Four snaps in (sack and fumble), nope.
By the end of the Browns 30-24 overtime loss at Miami on Sunday, Kessler made some form of a case for himself.
Left tackle Joe Thomas called him "amazingly unflappable." His receivers said he played like a veteran. Among cleveland.com readers, 69 percent viewed his play as satisfactory, compared to just 5 percent who deemed it unsatisfactory.
Is it possible that the Browns quarterback of the future is already on the roster?
After a 21-for-33 debut that included 244 passing yards and no interceptions (or touchdowns), the answer is much closer to maybe than after the first two weeks, when Kessler was just a third-round reach and third-string rookie.
So in week three of our Browns Future QB Tracker, his chance at being the long-term guy down the road is moving up. Each week, the goal here is to list candidates not just to be the Browns quarterback this year or in 2017. The search is for the long-term franchise quarterback that could settle this position for at least half a decade or so.
Last week, we had Kessler at 5 percent in the tracker, listed as the sixth option behind five college quarterbacks.
His percent chance is up based on his play and one other thing. That other thing is the reason the college quarterbacks expected to be in the 2017 NFL Draft are all moving down a bit this week.
That reason is Myles Garrett.
It's possible that the Texas A&M defensive end is so good, even a QB-hungry team like the Browns would have no choice but to grab him with the overall No. 1 pick.
As one of four winless teams, with Chicago, New Orleans and Jacksonville, we're still tracking the Browns to that top selection. On the other hand, Philadelphia is 3-0, so that first-rounder acquired from the Eagles may easily be in the 20s or later, when a reasonable assumption before the season was that the pick acquired in the Carson Wentz deal could easily be in the top 10. So no double-dip of Garrett and a top QB in the top five.
SI.com dropped a mock draft Tuesday. It gave Garrett to the Browns at No. 1.
Not unreasonable. That's a good thing for Kessler.
Onto the tracker, week three.
The Browns future quarterback tracker after week three of the NFL season.Doug Lesmerises, cleveland.com
* Cody Kessler, Browns, 17 percent: Maybe this is nuts. Maybe this is too high. But the guy is here, and Hue Jackson likes him.
His arm strength and mobility aren't great. The Browns game plan Sunday, when it looked for any spark, put Kessler on the sideline and receiver Terrelle Pryor at quarterback. But the most likely scenario for Kessler emerging as the guy isn't all about him, it's about talent sprouting around him.
If the run game is real with Isaiah Crowell, the league's second-leading rusher, and Duke Johnson, and if there are multiple targets in Corey Coleman, Terrelle Pryor, Josh Gordon and Gary Barnidge, maybe the Browns will find that an efficient QB who doesn't make too many mistakes is a realistic way to win.
That's not exactly a ringing endorsement. But it's not impossible. Last week: 5 percent
* DeShone Kizer, Notre Dame, 16 percent: After a dazzling start against Texas in the opener, Kizer has thrown for more than 700 yards combined the last two weeks. But both games were losses, to Michigan State and Duke, and Kizer completed fewer than 57 percent of his passes.
According to the Chicago Tribune, Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly, who should be under the microscope himself, called Kizer's play "below standard' and "not acceptable."
What's that mean? Kizer remains an elite QB prospect. But some of the shine is off from week one, at least from a performance standpoint, though not really from a prospect standpoint. If we're assuming the Browns don't go QB with that top pick, then another team will grab Kizer as one of the top two QBs available.
That is unless Kelly, in anger and desperation, makes a quarterback change and throws a wrench into Kizer's stock. That could actually increase the Browns' chances of getting him later in round one. Last week: 22 percent
* Deshaun Watson, Clemson, 15 percent: Watson's chances have been cut in half from the first tracker because he's back on track. After a slow start for the Tigers offense, Watson was 32 for 48 for 304 yards in a win over Georgia Tech.
Maybe you still like Kizer better, and other mock drafts still like Kizer to the Browns. But Watson is 1A if he's not No. 1. And for this week, we're less certain the Browns will wind up either either of the top two guys for 2017. Last week: 26 percent
* Lamar Jackson, Louisville, 14 percent: If the Browns don't go top 10 QB in 2017, we're hitting the 2018 guys a little harder. Jackson and No. 3 Louisville have a huge showdown with Watson and No. 5 Clemson at 8 p.m. Saturday. Watch and wonder.
We think Josh Rosen still projects as a higher 2018 pick, but we're giving Jackson slightly better odds under the idea that the improved 2017 Browns won't have a shot at the top QB in 2018. But he could be a very good one. Last week: 13 percent
* Josh Rosen, UCLA, 12 percent: But, then again, maybe they will get that No. 1 pick in two years. Rosen was encouraged last week despite a loss to Stanford that dropped the Bruins to 2-2. He was 18 for 27 for 248 yards and, according to the Los Angeles Times, said, "Overall, I think I played pretty well."
He has five touchdowns and four interceptions this season, while Jackson has 13 passing TDs and just three interceptions (as well as 12 rushing scores.) So Rosen needs to continue to catch up when it comes to production. Last week: 9 percent
* Chad Kelly, Ole Miss, 10 percent: Time to take a harder look at quarterbacks who could be there for the Browns second first-round pick in 2017 if it falls in the 20s. Kelly has made some major mistakes early, but CBSSports.com (at No. 21) likes him as the third quaterback off the board in 2017. He led a 45-14 win over Georgia last week and after throwing three picks in the opener hasn't thrown one in his last three games. Last week: 3 percent
* Brad Kaaya, Miami, 9 percent: Meanwhile, SI.com likes Kaaya as the third draftable QB for 2017, making him the No. 26 pick in its draft. He was awful against Florida Atlantic in week two (17 for 31, no TDs, 2 INTs) but after a bye week, he could get rolling in ACC play. Last week: 8 percent
* Sam Bradford, Minnesota Vikings, 5 percent: The Vikings are 3-0 and Bradford, if not world-beating, looks legit. When Teddy Bridgewater comes back next season, Minnesota could have two starting quarterbacks. The Browns could have none. Last week: 3 percent
Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Bradford threw for 171 yards and a touchdown last week in a win at Carolina.Mike McCarn, AP
* Mitch Trubisky, North Carolina, 1 percent: Who's up for another hometown guy? The Mentor grad lit up Pitt last week, topping 400 yards for the second straight game. The Tar Heels are 3-1 and the 6-foot-3, 220-pound junior in his first year as a starter has thrown 10 touchdown passes without an interception. Last week: 0 percent
Trubisky takes control
* Terrelle Pryor, Browns, 1 percent: Like we said at the start, what if the Browns have their future QB on the roster already?
But what if he's playing receiver? Last week: 0 percent
* Dropped out: Kessler took up a lot more of the possibilities this week, so the following QBs dropped off the tracker, including the guy who started the season. They are listed with their percentages last week:
Jimmy Garoppolo, New England Patriots, 3 percent; Robert Griffin III, Browns, 3 percent; Seth Russell, Baylor, 2 percent; Davis Webb, Cal, 1 percent; Luke Falk, Washington State, 1 percent; Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers, 1 percent.
Previous Browns Future QB reader voting
Week 1: Deshaun Watson 40%; DeShone Kizer 37%; J.T. Barrett 6%
Week 2: DeShone Kizer 35%; Deshaun Watson 25%; Cody Kessler 13%
Previous Browns Future QB Trackers
Week 1: Deshaun Watson leads way
Week 2: Lamar Jackson enters picture