Top four seeds are Kentucky, Duke, Baylor and Indiana.
Originally published on March 11, 2012
SOUTH
1. Kentucky Wildcats
Record: 32-2
Southeastern Conference at-large
Leaders: A. Davis 14.3 ppg; A. Davis 10.0 ppg; M. Teague 4.7 apg.
The takeaway: The Wildcats were upset by Vanderbilt, 71-64, in Sunday's SEC title game. In its prior 33 games, Kentucky had outscored its opponents by 18.5 points per game; was ranking 10th nationally in field-goal percentage (48.7); ranking first in opponents field-goal percentage (36.6 percent) and 10th in opponents' scoring (58.6 ppg). Freshman forward Anthony Davis, 6-10, will be one of the first picks in the NBA Draft if he leaves Kentucky. Besides his scoring and rebounding, he's blocking 4.7 shots per game. Terrence Jones (12.5 ppg, 6.8 rpg) at 6-9, and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (12 ppg, 7.8 rpg) at 6-7, help Davis give the Wildcats a dominating inside game.
(FIRST ROUND GAME)
16. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Record: 21-12
Southwestern Athletic Conference champions
Leaders: P. Crosby 13.3 ppg; P. Crosby 7.4 rpg; K. Burwell 4.6 apg.
The takeaway: The Delta Devils began the season 1-11, but are 20-1 since. For the year, they have been outscored by their opponents, 69.3-68.9. The top five scorers are all seniors, including 6-8 forward Paul Crosby. Mississippi Valley State ranks 314th nationally in field-goal percentage (.402) and 293rd in free-throw percentage (.650).
16. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Record: 15-18
Sun Belt Conference champions
Leaders: D. Gordon 11.8 ppg; D. Gordon 6.7 rpg; J. Crook 2.7 apg.
The takeaway: Western Kentucky came out of nowhere to win the Sun Belt Tournament, a 74-70 title-game victory over North Texas on Tuesday. The win capped a stunning run for the Hilltoppers, who earned their first NCAA Tournament berth since 2009 by winning four games in as many days. WKU is some story: It started 5-11, resulting in the firing of coach Ken McDonald on Jan. 5, one day after a chaotic loss in which Louisiana-Lafayette played the final possession in overtime with six players. Ray Harper was named the Hilltoppers' interim coach. The Toppers closed the regular season with three wins in four games before their Sun Belt tourney run.
8. Iowa State Cyclones
Record: 22-10
Big 12 Conference at-large
Leaders: R. White 13.1 ppg; R. White 9.2 rpg; R. White 5.1 apg.
The takeaway: When they're playing well, the Cyclones are very difficult to defend. They have four players who have made at least 50 3-point shots. And then they have Royce White, who has to be one of basketball's most versatile 6-8, 270-pound players. Besides leading Iowa State in points, rebounds and assists, he's first in field-goal percentage (.521), steals (1.2) and blocked shots (0.9). He does have trouble at the foul line (49 percent). Guard Scott Christopherson (12.5 ppg) has made 200 3-pointers in his career, hitting 44 percent of his attempts.
9. Connecticut Huskies
Record: 20-13
Big East Conference at large
Leaders: J. Lamb 17.7 ppg; A. Drummond 7.7 rpg; S. Napier 5.8 apg.
The takeaway: Gone from last season's national champions are stalwarts such as guard Kemba Walker, now with the Charlotte Bobcats. The Huskies don't appear to be much of a threat -- they've lost 12 of their past 20 games. They've outscored the opposition by a rather ordinary 4.7 points per game. Jeremy Lamb, a 6-5 sophomore guard-forward, has an excellent chance to be a lottery pick if he enters the NBA Draft.
5. Wichita State Shockers
Record: 27-5
Missouri Valley Conference at large
Leaders: G. Stutz 13.5 ppg; G. Stutz 8.0 rpg; J. Ragland 3.4 apg.
The takeaway: Before its 65-64 loss to Illinois State in a conference tournament semifinal, Wichita State had won nine straight games, 17 of its past 18 and 25 of its past 27. The Shockers can dominate: they average 77.7 points a game while shooting 48.5 percent from the field, while holding their opponents to 62.4 points per game and 39.2 percent shooting. Garrett Stutz, a 7-0 center, posted his team-leading scoring and rebounding in just 24.5 minutes per game. Guard Joe Ragland averaged 13.4 points, making half (57-of-114) of his 3-point attempts.
12. Virginia Commonwealth Rams
Record: 28-6
Colonial Athletic Association champions
Leaders: B. Burgess 13.3 ppg; J. Reddic 6.8 rpg; D. Theus 4.8 apg.
The takeaway: The Rams topped Drexel, 59-56, Monday in the CAA title game, ending the Dragons' 19-game winning streak. Troy Daniels, a 6-4 junior, averages 10.0 ppg and is VCU's top 3-point shooter at 38.5 percent. In the win over Drexel, Darius Theus had a career-high 16 points and five steals to lead the Rams, who were the biggest story of last year's NCAA Tournament when they won five times to reach the Final Four. Like last year, the Rams are tough defensively. They allow opponents to shoot 59.8 percent from the field, 23rd nationally; and allow just under 10 assists per game, 18th nationally.
4. Indiana Hoosiers
Record: 25-8
Big Ten Conference at-large
Leaders: C. Zeller 15.5 ppg; C. Zeller 6.4 rpg; J. Hulls 3.2 apg.
The takeaway: Indiana, long one of the sport's elite programs, was 6-25 three years ago and won just 12 games last season. The Hoosiers rank 18th in the nation in scoring (77.3 ppg), second in 3-point shooting (43.3 percent), ninth in field-goal shooting (48.7 percent) and 14th in free-throw shooting (76.2 percent). Cody Zeller is among the country's premier freshmen. Unfortunately, Indiana has lost senior point guard Verdell Jones (7.5 ppg. 3.2 apg), who tore the anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee during Thursday's win over Penn State. Jones scored 1,347 career points.
13. New Mexico State Aggies
Record: 26-9
Western Athletic Conference champions
Leaders: W. McKines 18.8 ppg; W. McKines 10.8 rpg; H. Laroche 3.8 apg.
The takeaway: The Aggies have won 12 of their past 14 games, with the losses by one and four points. They rank 11th in the nation in scoring, with 78.5 points per game. Wendell McKines, 6-6, can score in a variety of ways, including from 3-point range. Guard Hernst Laroche is a key player with his scoring (12 ppg, 41 percent 3-point shooting), playmaking and defense (1.8 steals per game).
2. Duke Blue Devils
Record: 27-6
Atlantic Coast Conference at-large
Leaders: A. Rivers 15.4 ppg; M. Plumlee 9.1 rpg; S. Curry 2.5 apg.
The takeaway: Coach Mike Krzyzewski, in his 32nd season at Duke, has led the Blue Devils to four national championships. Duke is 16th in the nation in scoring, averaging 77.5 points per game. The defense is not as good as usual, allowing an average of 68.5 points. Several players are capable of making the big play, including guards Austin Rivers and Seth Curry and 6-10 forward Mason Plumlee.
15. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Record: 26-7
Patriot League champions
Leaders: C. McCollum 21.9 ppg; C. McCollum 6.5 rpg; M. McKnight 3.7 apg
The takeaway: Lehigh is celebrating its second NCAA trip in three seasons. It finished second to Bucknell in the regular-season standings, then beat the Bisons, 82-77, in the Patriot title game. C.J. McCollum, a master of hitting tough shots, was named the Patriot League Player of the Year. If the Hawks stay in a game late, they are deadly from the free-throw line: They rank third in the nation at 77.6 percent.
7. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Record: 22-11
Big East Conference at-large
Leaders: J. Cooley 12.4 ppg; J. Cooley 9.0 rpg; J. Grant 4.9 apg.
The takeaway: The Fighting Irish have lost three of their past five games after a nine-game winning streak. Notre Dame has averaged just 56.2 points in those five games. The Fighting Irish ranks 41st nationally in scoring defense (61.5 ppg). Jack Cooley, 6-9, is followed in team scoring leadership by guards Jerian Grant (12.3 ppg, 4.9 apg) and Eric Atkins (12.2 ppg, 4.1 apg).
10. Xavier Musketeers
Record: 21-12
Atlantic 10 Conference at-large
Leaders: T. Holloway 17.0 ppg; K. Frease 6.2 rpg; T. Holloway 5.2 ppg.
The takeaway: The Musketeers have won just eight of their past 15 games. They are holding their opponents to 39.8 percent field-goal shooting, ranking 28th in the nation. Point guard Tu Holloway has a big-play reputation, and he gets scoring help from guard Mark Lyons (15.5 ppg). Kenny Frease (9.6 ppg), at 7-0, helps around the basket at both ends of the court. Guard/forward Dezmine Wells (10.3 ppg, 5 rpg) has had a solid freshman season. Holloway plays 36.5 minutes per game, among the nation's leaders.
3. Baylor Bears
Record: 27-7
Big 12 Conference at large
Leaders: P. Jones III 14.0 ppg; Q. Acy 7.2 rpg; P. Jackson 5.8 apg.
The takeaway: The Bears have been inconsistent since their 17-0 start. The offense remains solid, ranking 37th in the nation in both scoring average (74.9) and field-goal shooting (47 percent). Defense is a concern -- allowing an average of 79 points in the past four games. Perry Jones III, a 6-11 sophomore forward, is a potential top 10-15 NBA Draft pick if he leaves the Bears, although his 14 points and 7.7 rebounds per game might be short of expectations. Pierre Jackson, a 5-10 point guard, is averaging 13.3 points, including 43 percent 3-point shooting, and 5.8 assists, although he is turnover-prone (3.6 per game).
14. South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Record: 27-7
Summit League champions
Leaders: N. Wolters 21.3 ppg; N. Wolters 5.2 rpg; N. Wolters 6.0 apg.
The takeaway: Nate Wolters, a 6-4 junior, leads SDSU in most categories, including field-goal percentage (44.6) and free-throw percentage (78.6). But in the Summit title win over Western Illinois, he scored just 14 points and was just 5-of-22 from the floor. SDSU was able to win despite shooting just 35 percent from the field. SDSU ranks 18th in the nation in 3-point percentage, making 39.3 percent of their attempts. The Jackrabbits are making their first NCAA appearance as Division I members.
6. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
Record: 26-8
Mountain West Conference at-large
Leaders: M. Moser 14.1 ppg; M. Moser 10.6 rpg; O. Bellfield 5.3 apg.
The takeaway: Mike Moser, a 6-8 forward, gets scoring help from guard/forward Chace Stanback (12.7 ppg), who is shooting 46 percent from 3-point range. Guards Anthony Marshall (12.1 ppg) and Oscar Bellfield (9.8 ppg) combine for 10.1 assists per game. UNLV's 17.7 assists per game rank third-best in the nation, and its 76.7 points scoring average is 24th. The Runnin' Rebels have lost five of their past 10 games.
11. Colorado State Rams
Record: 20-11
Mountain West Conference at large
Leaders: W. Eikmeier 15.6 ppg; P. Hornung 8.4 rpg; J. Carr 2.6 apg.
The takeaway: The Rams have lost seven of their past 14 games. When they're good, it's because of their shooting: sixth in the nation in both free throw (76.9) and 3-point (40.5) percentages, and 24th in field-goal percentage (24th). Leading scorer, guard Wes Eikmeier, shoots just 41 percent, though. Guard Dorian Green (13.5 ppg) makes 49 percent of his shots, including 43 percent on 3-pointers.