Five reasons the No. 2 Clemson Tigers (12-1) will beat the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) on Saturday in a College Football Playoff semifinal at the Fiesta Bowl.
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SCOTTSDALE, Ariz. -- Five reasons the No. 2 Clemson Tigers (12-1) will beat the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) on Saturday in a College Football Playoff semifinal at the Fiesta Bowl.
1. Sammy Watkins 2.0 Plus: If Clemson receiver Mike Williams has the kind of game Sammy Watkins had against Ohio State in the 2013 Orange Bowl, then what were all of these defensive changes for?
The Buckeyes completely revamped their defensive backfield after Watkins torched them for 227 yards and two touchdowns in that Orange Bowl loss.
So sorry, Mike. It shouldn't be as easy for you as it was for Sammy when you and your teammates play Ohio State in the Fiesta Bowl.
But that's OK, because Williams is only part Watkins. He's also part DeAndre Hopkins and Martavis Bryant. Clemson has a receiver pipeline to the NFL that's unrivaled across college football. Williams is the embodiment of everything great that those Clemson NFL receivers possess.
"Each of those guys have something different," Clemson co-offensive coordinator Tony Elliott said. "Nuk (Hopkins) was the ultimate competitor with great ball skills. Sammy was the freakish athlete. And Martavis, I've never seen somebody at 6-foot-5 run as fast as him. Now you look at Mike, he can do a little bit of everything that those guys did.
"He's quicker than you think, he's faster than you think, he's bigger than you think and he's got great ball skills."
Ohio State has seen some fine receivers this year. And the Buckeyes have excellent cornerbacks.
They haven't seen a player like Williams maybe since they played Alabama's Amari Cooper in the 2014 College Football Playoff. These kind of players are rare.
Buckeyes cornerbacks Marshon Lattimore and Gareon Conley are considered legitimate NFL prospects, Lattimore a no-brainer first-round guy in most scouts' eyes. This will be their biggest test this season, and they should both get chances to cover Williams.
"Mike Williams is a monster," Clemson coach Dabo Swinney said. "I mean, he's a game-changer every snap whether he gets the ball or not. If he lines up on the field, he impacts the game because I promise you the defensive coordinator is hoping that it doesn't go No. 7's way. He's just that type of guy."
And he's motivated.
Williams missed Clemson's run to the College Football Playoff National Championship last year because of a scary neck injury suffered early in the 2015 season. Maybe if he would've played, Clemson would be looking to defend a national title this year rather than looking to make up for a missed opportunity.
While the Tigers prepared for the playoff last year, Williams had a role as supporter and a voice for any other Clemson receivers looking for advice. Assistant coaches even gave him a whistle during bowl practice.
But the guy who might have been the best receiver in the country last year wasn't on the field then. He is now.
"That's one of the main things I wanted to do when I came back, I wanted that College Football Playoff experience, and National Championship experience," Williams said. "For my season to end like that would be very special."
Clemson spreads the ball around, but Williams' numbers are just as gaudy as you'd expect for a receiver of his caliber: 84 catches, 1,171 yards, 10 touchdowns.
What sets him apart from other receivers Ohio State has faced this season is his willingness to play for contested balls, and Clemson's offensive philosophy of being aggressive in the throw game.
Williams doesn't have the kind of cocksure attitude that you'd expect from a player who should be the top receiver selected in the 2017 NFL Draft. Most star receivers will tell you nobody can cover them. Williams was asked several times to go down that road here in the lead up to the Fiesta Bowl and he didn't go there.
Maybe that's because he has respect for Ohio State's corners, which he should. Or maybe it's because he doesn't have to talk. He's playing now, and that's all that needs to be said.
"He's a better player this year than he would have been last year, and he would have been amazing," Swinney said. "But I think his mindset, his mentality, his appreciation for his opportunity, the fact that he was able to sit and learn last year, and I think that fire was burning hard and intense for him coming into the season.
"He's a problem. I mean, he's a matchup problem. And everybody knows it. And he has a quarterback that can get him the ball."
2. Clemson has a better version of Ohio State's offense: These are two similar offenses. There's a multi-pronged rushing attack with an element of a power quarterback run game, and there's speed on the edges meant to force defenses to cover the full width of the field.
The Buckeyes have had so much offensive success using that formula since Urban Meyer has been in Columbus, but this year Clemson is doing it better.
Ohio State is more one-dimensional than it would like to be, even if throwing the ball around the yard isn't something that's necessarily needed to win a national championship.
Clemson's rushing numbers aren't what Ohio State's are, because Watson doesn't run like J.T. Barrett and the combination of Curtis Samuel and Mike Weber is more dynamic than what the Buckeyes have in the backfield.
Does it matter that Ohio State can't throw?
But Clemson does have a run game that it combines with a passing offense Ohio State wishes it had.
"Probably the best - not probably -- the best unit of receivers that we've ever played, certainly Mike is an elite level guy, but I think the guys that surround him are not far back. That's what makes it a challenge," Buckeyes' co-defensive coordinator Greg Schiano said.
Clemson TE Leggett is a matchup problem
"If you had one great receiver you can do certain things to take him out of the game or limit his chances to touch the ball. When you do that you leave yourself exposed in other places, but you can't in this offense. The other guys will beat you there. So you gotta play more balanced up and hope that you can -- you're not going to win every battle but hope you win your share."
Clemson has Williams and four other players who have caught at least 30 passes. The Tigers will spread Ohio State out, and you wonder if the Buckeyes have the bodies to cover everyone.
3. Red zone scoring: One of the things that's made Ohio State's defense so tough this season is that it doesn't allow touchdowns, even if it's allowing yards. Clemson is No. 3 in the country with 48 red zone touchdowns, and gets touchdowns in the red zone at a 70 percent clip.
That's better than any team Ohio State has seen this year, and the Buckeyes have only faced two other teams in the top-50 in the country in red zone touchdown percentage. When Clemson gets into scoring position, it usually doesn't settle for field goals
4. A massive defensive line: In a world where Ohio State is still trying to lure those big earth movers on the defensive line, Clemson has amassed a group of them.
There's 310-pound end Christian Wilkins, 305-pound tackle Carlos Watkins and 340-pound freshman freak Dexter Lawrence.
"I don't think we've seen that kind of size in a group that's that deep," Buckeyes' co-offensive coordinator Ed Wariner said.
Why doesn't Ohio State get monster D-linemen?
Clemson is different in the sense that it doesn't have some of the traditional edge rush defensive end types. So maybe that's a plus for the Buckeyes as they try to get a player like right tackle Isaiah Prince past a bad game against the Wolverines and an up-down-season.
Clemson's defensive line is more about strength, but it does find ways to bring pressure using a combination of their size up front and aggressive linebackers behind them.
"Tremendous challenge, and they do a great job schematically with their defense," Ohio State offensive line coach Greg Studrawa said. "It's not just the front four, it's the linebackers. They rush five or six guys and it's solo blocks. They have six one-on-one blocks, all they need is one guy to win. You can have five perfect blocks and it's a bad play."
5. Deshaun Watson runs in big games: Clemson's quarterback is one of the best athletes in the country, but he doesn't always show it. You get the feeling that Watson would rather show off his big arm and make plays that way than run and make plays with his legs.
Unless he has to.
He's kind of a reverse J.T. Barrett in that sense.
Barrett only throws into tight spots when the pressure is on and he has no other choice. Watson always wants to throw, tight window or not, and runs only when it's needed most.
A playoff game might fall into that category.
In Clemson's biggest and closest games, Watson has averaged 13 carries per game, which is slightly up from his season average of 10.8. In the ACC Championship against Virginia Tech, Watson ran for 85 yards and two touchdowns.
"He does a great job of extending plays and controlling the game," Buckeyes' defensive end Sam Hubbard said. "He reminds me of J.T. a lot with how he avoids pressure and controls the game."