Cleveland Browns need to look at younger players such as Jaye Howard, Lamar Miller and Marvin Jones in free agency. Watch video
CLEVELAND, Ohio -- It starts March 9, NFL free agency.
Some fans have been emailing that the Browns should try to sign Mario Williams. There is some surface logic to the thought. Until last season, Williams has been one of the better pass-rushers in the NFL.
But in 2015, he slipped to 5.5 sacks. Williams blamed his problems on Buffalo coach Rex Ryan, who changed some of the defensive schemes.
Maybe Williams is right. Or maybe not. Some insist he lost interest last season.
But more meaningful, he's 31 years old.
When the name of Mario Williams comes up in the Browns meetings, I can imagine the analytics guys screaming ... OH NO!!!
Williams is exactly the kind of player the Browns should not sign, at least not to any type of lucrative contract.
That's exactly what analytics will say. It's also exactly what the Browns have done over the last few seasons.
Over the weekend, I wrote how the new Browns front office considers football "a young man's game." They look at the signing of veterans such as Karlos Dansby, Tramon Williams, Donte Whitner and others and they want to weep. Yes, those players still have some ability.
But for what the Browns plan to do, which is build through the draft and with younger veterans -- those signings made no sense.
So don't think about Matt Forte for the Browns. He's a 30-year-old running back. Or linebacker Tamba Hali, who is 32.
Here are some of my thoughts on free agency:
WANT A PASS RUSHER?
Malik Jackson is 26, had 5.5 sacks for Denver and is rated the top free agent, period, by some experts. The 290-pounder is 26 years old, the sweet spot for free agents. He can play end in the 3-4 defense for the Browns.
Do they throw huge dollars at Jackson?
Jaye Howard makes more sense as is expected to cost less than Jackson. The 27-year-old 303-pound defensive end has emerged as a starter the last two season in Kansas City. He was cut by Seattle earlier in his career. He had 5.5 sacks and 31 QB hits for the Chiefs.
He actually is considered better against the run, something the Browns also need.
Notice that they have the same sack totals as Williams -- 5.5. The difference is Howard and Jackson are entering their peak seasons, Williams is probably in decline. I really like Howard for the Browns.
WANT A RUNNING BACK?
Free agent Lamar Miller is 24. He's been in the NFL for four years, but has only 638 career carries with Miami. Last season., Miller rushed for 872 yards (4.5 yards) and 8 TDs. He also caught 47 passes.
Miller fits the profile. He's young. He;s not been pounded by having a heavy workload at running back. He not only can run, but he catches passes. He seems to be peaking. The analytics guys should love him.
The hard part is his agent -- Drew Rosenhaus. Miller won't come cheap.
The big name will be Doug Martin, who rushed for 1,402 yards and a 4.9 average with Tampa Bay last season. He will be extremely expensive. He lost five fumbles. Miller only lost one. I don't picture Martin with the Browns. I expect him to stay in Tampa Bay.
I've liked Chris Ivory, and he had a career season with 1,040 yards rushing for the Jets. His career average is 4.6 yards per carry, and has 883 carries. He's 27 years old, but only became a starter in his last two seasons.
The Browns may decide they are okay at running back with Duke Johnson and Isaiah Crowell. Perhaps they will draft a back. But I do like Miller and Ivory.
WANT A RECEIVER?
This is a tough one.
Think about this: Andrew Mason on the Broncos team website ranked Travis Benjamin of the Browns as his pick for the best free agent wide receiver in 2016. Benjamin is at least in the top three, and Browns fans know that he has some talent but also is limited.
Marvin Jones has been linked to the Browns. He played for Hue Jackson in Cincinnati. He's 26, so that's the right age. He caught 65 passes for a 12.6 yards average.
The good news is Jackson should know if Jones is capable of being a big-time receiver. Or was he really helped by playing next to all-world receiver A.J. Green, who drew most of the defensive attention?
Another young free agent receiver is Reuben Randle, who has caught 128 passes (13.5 average) in the last two years with the Giants. He's only 24 and is 6-foot-2, 208 pounds. That's the kind of big receiver the Browns can use. Some stories have questioned Patterson's attitude. He also was helped by playing on the same team as O'dell Beckham.
One of the knocks on Randle is he averaged only 3.5 yards after the catch (YAC) last season. He's had some knee problems.
Mohamed Sanu has been connected with the Browns. He's another Bengal, and he caught 33 passes. He's 26, and is 6-foot-2, 210 pounds. My guess is one of the former Bengals -- Sanu or Jones -- will show up in Cleveland.
That's fine. But my suggestion is that the Browns get very serious about finding a big-time receiver in the draft because there's not much help in free agency.
WANT TO STAY HOME?
It's doubtful the Browns will keep all four of their key unrestricted free agents.
But a strong case can be made for all of them being needed. Tackle Mitchell Schwartz and center Alex Mack are important as the team plans to draft a young quarterback. Schwartz is 27, Mack is 30.
And yes, they want to come out of the draft with a quarterback whom they believe can eventually become a starter.
If Mack and/or Schwartz leave, they need to find at least one lineman in free agency -- unless they plan to draft one very high.
Cleveland.com's Tom Reed wrote of Indiana's Jason Spriggs as a draft possibility for the line.
As for their other two free agents, Tashaun Gipson is a very good safety when healthy. Benjamin is one of the best receivers in a very weak free agent class.
My two priorities would be the offensive linemen, then Gipson. I like Benjamin, but he'd be fourth on my list.