I said Justin Masterson would be an All-Star, Jason Kipnis would drive in 90 runs, and Nick Swisher would hit 22 homers. Oh boy!
Michael Brantley became a fan favorite and an All-Star in 2014.Joshua Gunter / The Plain Dealer
CLEVELAND, Ohio -- Time to own up. At the end of spring training, I made 20 predictions about the Tribe:
Here we go, the predictions as I wrote them at the end of spring training:
1. "Justin Masterson makes the All-Star team again, but does not sign an extension with the Tribe."
Verdict: Not even close. Masterson turned down $45 million over three seasons. He then collapsed as a pitcher, was traded to the Cardinals at the end of July.
2. "In 2013, I wrote Nick Swisher would hit 24 homers and 88 RBI. I'll stick with the 24 homers, and give him 80 RBI. He has learned to take better care of his shoulder. I expect a Swisher-type season."
Verdict: That comment matched Swisher's performance: He batted .208 with 8 HR and 42 RBI. In 2013, it was a bad shoulder. This season, it was TWO bad knees.
3. "Josh Tomlin will win at least 10 games and be in the rotation by the middle of May. Still not happy about him opening in Class AAA."
Verdict: Tomlin was 8-9 with a 4.76 ERA. I expected better.
4. "Asdrubal Cabrera has a contract-driven season, hitting above .270 with about 20 homers."
Verdict: Traded at the end of July. Fell apart in the field. Ended up playing second base for Washington. For the year, he batted .241 (.694 OPS) with 14 HR and 61 RBI.
5. "Carlos Carrasco in the rotation doesn't work. He does help in the bullpen."
Verdict: Carrasco in the rotation failed at first ... and was outstanding in his second stint. He also was superb in relief.
6. "Carlos Santana is OK at third base a few times a week, but he has some rocky games early in the season."
Verdict: He ended up playing first. Third was not a good idea.
7. "I'm going back to my 2013 prediction of 15 homers for Michael Brantley, another solid season."
Verdict: Brantley finished third in the MVP voting. He had 20 HR and 97 RBI, batting .327.
8. "Jason Kipnis signs an extension -- probably just wishful thinking."
Verdict: He signed a seven-year, $52 million extension. He also batted .240 with 6 HR and 41 RBI."
9. "Corey Kluber leads the staff in victories. He has the stuff to do it."
Verdict: Indeed he did, winning the Cy Young Award.
10. "Yan Gomes has another good year behind the plate, but his hitting drops off a bit. Gomes had a tremendous season, batting .294 (.826 OPS) with 11 homers and 38 RBI in only 322 plate appearances. But he walked only 18 times. Teams will pay more attention to him at the plate. But I'm thrilled the Tribe signed him."
Verdict: Gomes had another strong season, batting .278 (.785 OPS) with 21 HR and 74 RBI.
11. "If John Axford gets through April as the closer, he will have a big season. I'm worried about a bad start, as he had last year. His first few save chances are key for him this season."
Verdict: He survived April, but lost the closer's job on May 10.
12: "I wish I felt better about David Murphy, but I don't. His bat looked slow in the spring. He batted .204 (.581 OPS) in hitter-friendly Arizona. Last season, he batted .176 in April. His career April batting average is .226. So if he struggles early, the Tribe will be wondering if it's his usual April agony, or if it's a continuation of the .220 that he hit last season."
Verdict: Murphy got off to a fast start, hitting .284 in April with 18 RBI. He finished the season hitting .262 (.703 OPS) with 8 HR and 58 RBI.
13. "Lonnie Chisenhall ends up back in the minors and Jason Giambi has trouble staying healthy."
Verdict: Chisenhall sweated out the final cut, but then had a fast start. He was hitting .328 at the All-Star break (.218 after). Overall, Chisenhall batted .280 (.770 OPS) with 13 HR and 59 RBI. Giambi was hurt most of the year and not a factor.
14. C.C. Lee is up from Columbus and in the bullpen by June, and pitches well.
Verdict: He bounced back and forth between Class AAA Columbus and Cleveland four times. He was 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA. I thought he'd be more effective.
15. "Danny Salazar wins fewer than 12 games because the Indians continue to be very careful with his arm, innings, etc."
Verdict: Salazar ended up spending time in the minors (I didn't see that coming), and he was 6-8 with a 4.25 ERA. I thought he'd be more effective.
16. "Michael Bourn has trouble stealing bases because of his hamstring issues, and doesn't run as much as he'd like."
Verdict: Yes, those hamstrings were an issue.
17. "Jason Kipnis breaks through with a strong performance all season, makes another All-Star team, drives in at least 90 runs."
Verdict: Oh, boy, that prediction was even worse than Kipnis played.
18. "Trevor Bauer comes up from the minors, but he's still not ready to be a consistent big league starter."
Verdict: Bauer indeed came up from the minors and was 5-8 with a 4.18 ERA. He was ready for the rotation.
19. "Cody Allen and Bryan Shaw take over nicely for Joe Smith in the eighth inning."
Verdict: Allen ended up closing and was 6-4 with a 2.07 ERA with 24 saves. Shaw often pitched in the eighth inning, and he was 5-5 with a 2.59 ERA.
20. "One of the Tribe's two lefty relievers -- Josh Outman and Marc Rzepczynski -- has trouble and is replaced by the All-Star break."
Verdict: Outman was sent to Class AAA on June 25. He later was traded to the Yankees.
21. My preview story had them with an 85-77 record.
Verdict: I'll never come that close again, as the Tribe was 85-77.
Can Nick Swisher recover from his knee problems? Chuck Crow / The Plain Dealer
ABOUT NICK SWISHER
The Indians joined the parade of teams looking for ways to trade players who are on big contracts and have produced very little.
That's why you hear rumors of the Indians open to dealing Nick Swisher, who has $30 million left on his contract over the next two years.
Consider the following:
1. Baltimore would love to dump Ubaldo Jimenez a year after signing him. Jimenez has three years and $39 million left on his deal. He was 6-9 with a 4.81 ERA, and the Orioles didn't put him on their post-season roster. I would not trade Swisher for Jimenez even if the Orioles kicked in some cash. Jimenez has had one good season in the last four years. That was 2013 with the Tribe, but they know how Jimenez can easily lose his confidence and pitching motion.
2. Philadelphia is pleading with anyone to take Ryan Howard, who has $60 million left over the next three years. He's 35 and has not been the same since tearing his Achilles in the 2011 playoffs. He batted .223 (.690 OPS) with 23 HR and 95 RBI, leading the National League with 190 strikeouts.
3. I'd rather have Mark Reynolds than Howard. Reynolds is a free agent. He batted .196 (.681 OPS) with 22 HR and 45 RBI in 130 games for the Brewers. Actually, I'd rather see what the Tribe has in Zach Walters (big power, big strikeouts) than bring in Howard -- even if Philadelphia takes Swisher and pays most of Howard's contract. I'd also rather look at Walters than Reynolds.
4. The Cubs are offering Edwin Jackson, who has $22 million left over two years on his contract. In his last two seasons, Jackson is 14-33 with a 5.58 ERA for Cubs. Good luck with that.
5. Texas has to be wondering about Shin-Soo Choo. The former Indian signed a seven-year, $130 million deal with the Rangers last winter as Scott Boras struck gold again. Choo batted .242 (.714 OPS) with 13 HR and 41 RBI. Only six more years on that contract!
6. Nearly every team has at least one player in the category of Swisher -- and would love to trade him. The idea is to deal one bad contract for another, and then hope some good comes of it. That doesn't happen often.
7. My guess is Swisher ends up with the Tribe and they hope his surgically repaired knees hold up enough so that he can deliver 20 homers as a DH.
THREE QUICK TRIBE STRIKES
1. The Tribe was relieved when Giovanny Urshela turned out to have only a sprained ligament in his knee. It was feared he may need surgery after being injured in the Venezuelan Winter League, where he was batting .398 (.979 OPS). He is considered an exceptional third baseman. He turned 23 on October 10, and he's coming off a season where he batted a combined .280 with 18 HR and 84 RBI between Class AA Akron and Class AAA Columbus. He is a major prospect because the Tribe needs help at third, especially on defense.
2. Since we're talking winter ball, old friend Andy Marte is leading the Dominican League, batting .361. Manny Ramirez is still playing, batting .304.
3. The next Cody Allen/Kyle Crockett reliever who seems to come out of nowhere in the farm system to help in Cleveland may be Shawn Armstrong, who was added to the 40-man roster. An 18th-round pick in 2011 out of East Carolina, the right-hander was 6-2 with a 2.41 ERA at Class AA. He struck out 72 in 56 innings, walking only 22. He had 15 saves. For his career, Armstrong has a 2.43 ERA.
4. Shameless plug: Tom Hamilton and I will be signing copies of Glory Days In Tribe Town at Barnes & Noble at Crocker Park from 7-8 p.m. Tuesday.
• Terry's Talkin' Browns.
• Terry's Talkin' Cavs.