Michigan State is at No. 8, fifth among one-loss teams.
COLUMBUS, Ohio -- To truly simulate the College Football Playoff selection committee, which was one of our goals of doing this, I'm going to have knee surgery and remove myself from our voting.
Everyone cool with that? While I double-check if that's allowed, let's examine what this week's poll tells us.
The SEC is in good shape.
For the first time this season, a one-loss team is in our 'First Four Poll' for the College Football Playoff, and it's an SEC team. With losses by undefeated Notre Dame and Baylor last week, one-loss Alabama now holds down our No. 4 spot, ahead of fellow one-lossers Auburn, Oregon, Notre Dame and Michigan State.
We're going to have more shuffling, especially since the SEC West contains four of our top five, with No. 1 Mississippi State and No. 3 Ole Miss as well as Alabama and Auburn. So things will change.
But this is like the early laps of an auto race, and positioning matter. The positioning at the moment? Two one-loss teams from the SEC, independent one-loss Notre Dame and one-loss Pac-12 member Oregon are ahead of Michigan State, the highest one-loss Big Ten.
And Big 12 teams, TCU, Kansas State and Baylor are all ahead of Ohio State, the second Big Ten team, right now.
The positioning continues. And the SEC seems to be in very good shape to get two teams in the playoff.
Here's my top 10:
1. Mississippi State
2. Florida State
3. Ole Miss
4. Notre Dame
5. Arizona
6. Oregon
7. Auburn
8. Baylor
9. TCU
10. Alabama
And here's the rest of top 25, which stands as my full AP ballot this week.
11. Michigan State
12. Kansas State
13. Ohio State
14. Arizona State
15. Georgia
16. Nebraska
17. Marshall
18. USC
19. Minnesota
20. Utah
21. East Carolina
22. Oklahoma
23. West Virginia
24. Duke
25. Clemson
About the First Four Poll: Each week during the college football season, our committee of 13 national experts will rank the teams competing for a spot in the inaugural College Football Playoff. These rankings will provide a look at how the contenders for the four playoff berths stack up in advance of the release of the first College Football Playoff rankings on Oct. 28 and provide an alternative perspective to those official rankings thereafter.
About the voters: We've assembled a baker's dozen of top college sports writers from coast to coast. They are: Nick Baumgardner, MLive.com; Ken Goe, The Oregonian; David Jones, PennLive.com; Jim Kleinpeter, NOLA.com/The Times-Picayune; Gary Laney, Advance Digital National Desk; Tom Layberger, Advance Digital National Desk; Doug Lesmerises, Northeast Ohio Media Group; Nick O'Malley, MassLive.com; Kevin Scarbinsky, Alabama Media Group; Keith Sargeant, NJ.com; Patrick Stevens, Syracuse.com; Jim Waggoner, Staten Island Advance; Brad Wilson, lehighvalleylive.com/The Express-Times.
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The First Four
Mississippi State coach Dan Mullen will have to take his team on the road for big wins the rest of the year, including Saturday at Kentucky. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
1. Mississippi State (129 points), 6-0
Previous rank: No. 1
Last week: bye. This week: at Kentucky.
Projected playoff position: vs. Alabama in the Sugar Bowl.
Being idle didn't help or hurt the Bulldogs. Perception of their biggest win, over Auburn, remains the same. The win over Texas A&M has been diminished by the Aggies' continued poor play since, but the win at LSU looks better after the Tigers completely dominated Kentucky, 41-3. Mississippi State's eventual fate will be settled on the road. Playing at Kentucky is a start, and perhaps how the Bulldogs perform there will give us a preview of how they'll compete at Alabama and Ole Miss down the road.
Voters' take:
"The only downside to Mississippi State being off this week is that the rest of the top 10 is finally getting a resume that's as good as theirs. Almost. Can we fast forward to when they play Ole Miss to end the season?" -- Nick O'Malley, MassLive.com
Notre Dame lineman Jarron Jones, right, chases Florida State quarterback Jameis Winson during the second half of an NCAA college football game in Tallahassee, Fla., Saturday, Oct. 18, 2014. Florida State defeated Notre Dame 31-27. (AP Photo/Mark Wallheiser)
2. Florida State (113), 7-0
Previous rank: No. 2
Last week: def. Notre Dame, 31-27. This week: bye.
Projected playoff position: vs. Ole Miss in the Rose Bowl.
These aren't the 2013 Seminoles. This year, FSU struggles and survives, holding off a last-ditch drive late to beat the Fighting Irish. FSU has been a distracted, sometimes sloppy team with the off-field issues that surround Jameis Winston, but FSU, which may not play another ranked team in the weak ACC, keeps finding ways to win.
Voters' take:
"I've been see-sawing between Mississippi State and Florida State the past two weeks at No. 1, and this week the nod goes to the Seminoles for their win over Notre Dame. Twenty-three straight wins is quite impressive" -- Keith Sargeant, NJ.com
"Florida State once again finds a way to win against a quality foe. But the Seminoles needed an assist from the officials this time, and while I thought the call that reversed the Notre Dame touchdown was correct, it just reinforces the idea that FSU isn't the No. 1 team." -- Brad Wilson, The Express-Times/lehighvalleylive.com
Mississippi defensive back Senquez Golson (21) runs with an interception of a Tennessee pass during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Oxford, Miss., Saturday, Oct. 18, 2014. No. 3 Mississippi won 34-3. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
3. Ole Miss (106), 7-0
Previous rank: No. 3
Last week: def. Tennessee, 34-3. This week: at LSU.
Projected playoff position: vs. Florida State in the Rose Bowl.
The Rebels took care of business in a 34-3 rout of Tennessee and now they start a two-week gauntlet. No. 24 LSU looks much better than when Auburn blew the Tigers out in Baton Rouge Oct. 4. Then, the Rebels host Auburn the next week. If Ole Miss gets by these two games, the Rebels should have pretty clear sailing until the Egg Bowl. The Rebels' biggest advantage? LSU is likely the toughest road test Ole Miss will face the rest of the way.
Voters' take:
"I'm unimpressed with Mississippi's schedule to date. The Rebels three non-conference victories all have been at home or at a neutral site, and over mid-majors. Their single signature victory, over Alabama, also was at home. Their other conference victories over Vanderbilt, Texas A&M and Tennessee are over teams outside the Top 25. Notre Dame's narrow loss at Florida State is more impressive." -- Ken Goe, The Oregonian
"I imagine Ole Miss' defense as some sort of college football boogie man, that Pop Warner coaches tell scary stories about, like the Landsharks are gonna come get them if they don't study their playbook. That team is legit." -- Nick O'Malley, MassLive.com
Alabama head coach Nick Saban steps onto the field before the game against Texas A&M during an NCAA college football game on Saturday, Oct, 18, 2014, in Tuscaloosa, Ala.(AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
4. Alabama (77), 6-1
Previous rank: No. 7
Last week: def. Texas A&M, 59-0. This week: at Tennessee.
Projected playoff position: vs. Mississippi State in the Sugar Bowl.
As soon as you are ready to doubt the Crimson Tide after a loss to Ole Miss followed by a surprisingly close 14-13 win over Arkansas, 'Bama comes out and displays the full force of its enormous talent in a 59-0 blowout of Texas A&M. To make the weekend even better, West Virginia, the team Alabama beat to start the season, upset Baylor and became a ranked team, giving the Crimson Tide another quality win. Alabama, Notre Dame and Auburn are the only three one-loss teams that can claim their only loss is to an undefeated team.
Voters' take:
"Alabama is clearly the best one-loss team and I think they've gotten their issues sorted out. On a neutral field they could beat any of the three ranked above and have that luxury of having lost early with a favorable home schedule." -- Jim Kleinpeter, NOLA.com/The Times-Picayune
"...We're down to finding the best one-loss team for the fourth playoff spot. As so many things do, this one comes down to Alabama and Auburn. The schedule favors Auburn, but the eye test gives the nod to Alabama. The Crimson Tide scored on its first eight drives against Texas A&M -- the last seven scores were touchdowns -- and the Aggies didn't cross midfield on any of their first eight possessions. If the eye test matters, and it should, that's what a playoff team looks like." -- Kevin Scarbinsky, Alabama Media Group
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The Next Four
5. Auburn (71), 5-1
Previous rank: No. 6
Last week: bye. This week: vs. South Carolina.
Even sitting home in southeast Alabama, the Tigers came out of the weekend looking better than before. Kansas State's 31-30 win at Oklahoma reflects well on the Tigers, given Auburn's road win at Kansas State early in the year. It's the kind of quality win that should have Auburn well in the playoff conversation even if they don't win the SEC West. Auburn is one of three one-loss teams whose only defeat has been to an undefeated team.
6. Oregon (57), 6-1
Previous rank: No. 8
Last week: def. Washington, 45-20. This week: at California (Friday).
The issues that were plaguing the Ducks when they lost to Arizona seem to be behind them. Oregon is playing better defense and what had been a porous offensive line is protecting, and opening holes for, quarterback Marcus Mariota. Get by Cal and the Ducks face nemesis Stanford, which has not been as strong as in recent years. But if the Cardinal isn't as strong as normal, Oregon may still be challenged Nov. 8 by Utah, which plays a physical style of defense similar to Stanford's.
7. Notre Dame (56), 6-1
Previous rank: No. 5
Last week: lost to Florida State, 31-27. This week: bye.
How much credit do you get for a "good" loss? The Irish have to hope that it's a lot. While it was impressive in coming within an offensive pass interference call of beating Florida State on the road, Notre Dame's total body of work otherwise has been taking hits. The 31-0 rout of Michigan has been diminished by the Wolverines' subsequent slide. The rally over Stanford has been dampened by the Cardinals' other losses, most recently to Arizona State Saturday. The Irish have a great loss, but will they have big wins at the end?
8. Michigan State (29), 6-1
Previous rank: NR
Last week: def. Indiana, 56-17. This week: vs. Michigan.
The focus of the schedule is Nov. 8, when Sparty takes on Ohio State, likely for the Big Ten's claim at a playoff spot. The question is, are there going to be enough quality wins to go with a good loss to Oregon? Nebraska is the only ranked opponent to lose to MSU so far and this is the rare year one can't count Michigan as a quality win.
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The Rest
Dropped out: No. 4 Baylor
Others receiving votes: Georgia (24), TCU (15), Arizona (13), Kansas State (12), Baylor (8), Marshall (4), Ohio State (1)