It's the eve of the 2014 NFL Draft. Rumors are spreading and smoke is coming from all over the NFL. It's hard to know what information to believe in the final hours before Commissioner Roger Goodell announces the first pick.
CLEVELAND, Ohio – It's the eve of the 2014 NFL Draft. Rumors
are spreading and smoke is coming from all over the NFL. It's hard to know what
information to believe in the final hours before Commissioner Roger Goodell
announces the first pick.
With the Houston Texans open for business, it's still tough
to get a handle on what they will do with the top selection. It only gets
foggier from there. The St. Louis Rams have their pick of offensive tackles or
wide receivers – both needs. Jacksonville could finally fix their quarterback
position or they could go a different direction – wide receiver or pass rusher.
Then there's the Browns. I had them tabbed as the team willing to take a gamble
of Johnny Manziel. But the latest report from Jay Glazer has me second-guessing.
This is one of the most unpredictable first rounds in recent
memory, and it's left many guessing, which should make for an exciting few days.
Here is my last Mock Draft, my best guess at what will
happen Thursday night, with one trade involving the Cleveland Browns.
1. Houston Texans – Jadeveon Clowney, Defensive End, South
Carolina
The one time I typed another name besides Clowney in this
spot, I immediately regretted it. He's the best player in this year's draft, a
rare pass rusher that has been destined for this spot since he walked onto
campus at South Carolina. A difference-maker on defense, Clowney would
immediately provide a pass rushing boost to a team that finished with the
second fewest sacks (32) in the NFL in 2013, and share the field with J.J.
Watt, causing nightmares for the opponent. This seems like the most likely pick
provided Houston can't trade back.
2. St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins) - Greg
Robinson, Offensive Tackle, Auburn
The Rams need to find out once and for all what they have in
quarterback Sam Bradford. The only way they will be able to do that is to
change the situation around him. Robinson has a unique combination of size,
strength and athleticism. He's more of a mauler in the run game, which could
fit St. Louis' style, but he also has the skills to be an all-around great blindside
protector for years to come.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars – Sammy Watkins, Wide Receiver,
Clemson
There will likely be a strong debate in Jacksonville. With
the unlikelihood of Justin Blackmon playing for the Jaguars in 2014, GM David
Caldwell could consider his replacement, Watkins. There's also the QB
question, which still hangs over the franchise. But head coach Gus Bradley is a
defensive-minded coach and the Jaguars have finished last in sacks two-straight
years, making a pass rusher like Buffalo's Khalil Mack an option. The Jags had
the worst offense in the league in 2013. It wasn't by accident. Watkins has the
talent to change that.
4. Cleveland Browns – Mike Evans, Wide Receiver, Texas
A&M
The Browns have done a great job keeping everyone guessing.
If this scenario plays out, Cleveland will likely be on the phone looking to
trade down – Buffalo and Detroit are possibilities. If they have to make a
pick, Evans gets the nod over Mack. With all the scouting the Browns have done
on Johnny Manziel, they have also gotten a close look at Evans, and it's tough
to not like what he brings. With size, strength, athleticism and reliable hands,
Evans has the tools to be a dominant force. Pairing the former basketball player with Josh Gordon
doesn't do anything to solve the issue at QB. But it gives the Browns the best
receiver duo in the division.
5. Oakland Raiders – Khalil Mack, Outside Linebacker,
Buffalo
All of the moves the Raiders have made this off-season point
to them wanting to win now. Justin Tuck, James Jones, Matt Schaub and Lamarr
Woodley aren't in Oakland to go through a rebuild. Mack fits with the
mentality, and he fills a need at linebacker.
6. Atlanta Falcons – Jake Matthews, Offensive Tackle, Texas
A&M
The top two needs for the Falcons are pass rusher and
offensive lineman. With the top two quarterback chasers off the board, it's an
easy call for Atlanta. Matthews, a polished technician, will provide
quarterback Matt Ryan enough time to get the ball to wide receivers Julio Jones
and Roddy White.
Which team will take a chance on Johnny Manziel?AP 7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Johnny Manziel, Quarterback, Texas
A&M
They signed Josh McCown this off-season, but he's a journeyman,
not a long-term answer. Both Evans and Watkins are off the board so Tampa Bay
can't get the complement for Vincent Jackson. Manziel would give the Bucs their
quarterback of the future and give the Buccaneers a spark on offense.
8. Minnesota Vikings – Aaron Donald, Defensive Tackle,
Pittsburgh
Mike Zimmer is a defensive-minded coach. Coming from
Cincinnati, he will see a little bit of Geno Atkins in Donald. When the
Vikings' defense was at its best recently, Minnesota had two dominant tackles,
which it referred to as the "Williams Wall." Last year's first rounder Shariff Floyd and Donald could be next.
9. Buffalo Bills - Taylor Lewan, Offensive Tackle, Michigan
Buffalo is a candidate to trade up, likely targeting a new
pass-catcher for young quarterback E.J. Manuel or an offensive tackle to
protect 2013's first-round investment. Lewan would step in and play right away,
serving as the tackle opposite talented youngster Cordy Glenn.
10. Detroit Lions – Eric Ebron, Tight End, North Carolina
The Lions could go a number of different ways with this
pick, and a trade up shouldn't be ruled out, maybe even with the Browns. But if
Detroit stays put, they will likely ignore their cornerback spot and go with
Ebron, a versatile, pass-catching weapon. New offensive coordinator Joe
Lombardi was in New Orleans with Jimmy Graham. He knows how much an offense can
be boosted with an athletic force at tight end.
11. Tennessee Titans - Justin Gilbert, Cornerback, Oklahoma
State
The Titans let cornerback Alterraun Verner go to Tampa Bay
in the off-season. It leaves them two cornerbacks short of the required three necessary. New defensive
coordinator Ray Horton may be the exact coach Gilbert needs to maximize his
immense potential.
12. New York Giants – Zack Martin, Offensive Tackle, Notre
Dame
He can play right tackle, left tackle or either guard spot.
His versatility is perfect, especially for a team that is looking for guys to protect
quarterback Eli Manning.
13. St. Louis Rams – Darqueze Dennard, Cornerback, Michigan
State
The Rams have invested plenty of resources in their front
seven recently. Physical and imposing, it's turned into a quality unit ready to
take the next step. If that's going to happen, the Rams need to boost their secondary.
Safety will get strong consideration. But Dennard is the best cornerback in the
class and he has the attitude, toughness and instincts to play in the NFC West.
14. Chicago Bears – Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, Safety, Alabama
It has to be defense for the Chicago Bears with the top four
offensive linemen already gone. Clinton-Dix has the smarts,
instincts and athleticism teams are looking for in the back of the defense.
With Chicago needing a future leader in the secondary, the former Alabama star
could fill that role.
LSU's Odell Beckham Jr. is an explosive weapon on offense.Rogelio V. Solis, Associated Press 15. Pittsburgh Steelers – Odell Beckham Jr., Wide Receiver,
LSU
It's certainly not the biggest need for the Steelers. But
Pittsburgh passes on cornerback to grab an explosive playmaker in Beckham Jr.,
who helps quarterback Ben Roethlisberger while taking pressure off Antonio Brown.
16. Dallas Cowboys – Anthony Barr, Outside Linebacker, UCLA
Defense will likely be the choice here for the Cowboys. It's
just a matter of which position. Safety, defensive Tackle and pass rusher are
the needs. DeMarcus Ware won't be around this season, and while Barr is far
from a finished product, he's someone that can bring pressure off the edge.
17. Baltimore Ravens – Calvin Pryor, Safety, Louisville
The Ravens used a first rounder on the position last year,
but Matt Elam's physical style makes him better suited as a strong safety.
Pryor, a hard hitter with a nose for the football, would create one of the best
young safety tandems in the league and set the tone on defense.
18. New York Jets – Brandin Cooks, Wide Receiver, Oklahoma
State
Geno Smith and his four fourth-quarter comebacks are likely
to remain the Jets starting quarterback for another year. New York needs to
give him more help. Last year he had Jeremy Kerley, the disappointing Stephen
Hill and oft-injured Santonio Holmes to throw at. They plucked David Nelson
during the season and he actually turned into a reliable threat, showing how
weak the position was. Eric Decker was a good start in free agency. Cooks would bring the speed, explosiveness
and reliable hands that made him a dynamic pass-catcher for Oregon State.
Does Browns GM Ray Farmer have his eye on Teddy Bridgewater?John Raoux, Associated Press 19. Cleveland Browns (from Miami Dolphins) - Teddy Bridgewater, Quarterback, Louisville
This deal makes sense for both teams. From Miami's standpoint, they need an offensive tackle. But the top four are off the board and dropping down is a better option than drafting one that isn't worthy of a Top 20 pick.
For the Browns, it also makes sense. I don't believe they can't stay at No. 26 and get Bridgewater. Kansas City selecting at No. 23 would be too scary. Andy Reid loves quarterbacks - he was the guy who drafted Kevin Kolb high in the second round despite having Donovan McNabb. Alex Smith is going to be a free agent, and according to reports, contract negotiations aren't going very well. Bridgewater fits the offense in KC really well thanks to his accuracy and methodical approach. Then there's the Bengals at No. 24, who could also be a surprise team with eyes for Bridgewater. Mary Kay Cabot says Ray Farmer is enamored with Bridgewater so the first-year GM gets aggressive, armed with 10 picks, and moves up for the best QB in the draft, while also giving up two fourth rounders as well as the 26th pick.
20. Arizona Cardinals – Blake Bortles, Quarterback, Central
Florida
A team coming off a 10-win season, the Cardinals don't have
too many immediate needs. With Carson Palmer being 34 years old, and the Cards
not having a quarterback of the future on the roster, Arizona grabs their developmental QB. Head coach Bruce Arians worked with Ben Roethlisberger is Pittsburgh.
21. Green Bay Packers – C.J. Mosley, Inside Linebacker,
Alabama
The Packers often take the best player available. In this
case, that's Mosley, who will be an immediate impact player on a defense that
needs some help.
22. Philadelphia Eagles – Marqise Lee, Wide Receiver, USC
WR DeSean Jackson is gone. Riley Cooper has one year of
solid production on his resume. Jeremy Maclin is coming off another knee injury. Chip Kelly
likes speed. It just makes sense. Kelly knows all about Lee after coaching against
him in the Pac-12. Kelly ignores the defensive side of the ball to get
someone who can change the scoreboard in Philly.
23. Kansas City Chiefs – Cody Latimer, Wide Receiver, Indiana
The Chiefs have been looking for Dwayne Bowe's complement, with no success. It didn't work with Jonathan Baldwin, and Donnie Avery hasn't shown he can be consistent. Latimer is big, fast and strong. He has excellent hands and would give the Chiefs offense the kind of weapon they need to take the offense to another level.
24. Cincinnati Bengals – Kyle Fuller, Cornerback, Virginia
Tech
The Bengals' aging secondary will need some help dealing with
Browns' Josh Gordon, Ravens' Torrey Smith and Steve Smith as well as
Pittsburgh's Antonio Brown. Fuller has the instincts, man-to-man skills and
attitude to give Cincy's secondary an immediate boost.
25. San Diego Chargers – Jason Verrett, Cornerback, TCU
Forget the size (5-9) and the injuries. Verrett is a tough,
physical and feisty cornerback. The Chargers were 29th in the league
against the pass in 2013. They haven't done anything to change that yet this
off-season.
26. Miami Dolphins (from Cleveland Browns/from Indianapolis Colts) – Cyrus Kouandjio, Offensive Tackle, Alabama
The Dolphins drop back and still get the player they were most likely to consider at No. 19, while adding two fourth rounders. Ryan Tannehill, the NFL's most sacked QB in 2013 gets more help along the offensive line. As long as the medicals check out for Kouandjio,
the All-American, who allowed 1.5 sacks in the regular season this past year,
will be a good investment for the Dolphins.
Ohio State linebacker Ryan Shazier should be a first round pick.Marvin Fong 27. New Orleans Saints – Ryan Shazier, Outside Linebacker,
Ohio State
Is he an inside linebacker or an outside linebacker. I don't
know. I also don't care. Shazier is a playmaker – a guy who became one of the
best defenders in the country last year. With rare size, speed and athleticism,
Shazier can run with backs out of the backfield and make tackles in space, drop
into coverage and make plays in the backfield. He would only boost a defense,
which made great strides a season ago.
28. Carolina Panthers – Joel Bitonio, Offensive Tackle,
Nevada
With the unexpected retirement of OT Jordan Gross, the
Panthers will scramble, looking for help along the line. Bitonio has been
overshadowed throughout the process, but can play guard or tackle. It's that
kind of versatility, which could push him into the first round.
29. New England Patriots – Louis Nix III, Defensive Tackle,
Notre Dame
With Vince Wilfork being 34 years old and coming off an
injury, the Patriots have to start thinking about the future. Not only could
Nix be a run stuffing, double-team magnet for the Patriots, but he has the
size, strength and athleticism to move around the defensive line, playing end
in the Pats' scheme.
30. San Francisco 49ers – Stanley Jean-Baptiste, Cornerback,
Nebraska
The Seattle Seahawks have had tremendous luck with big and
long cornerbacks. The 49ers take a page out of their division rival's book and
grab Jean-Baptiste, who is 6-foot-2 and 215 pounds. With the size of a safety
to go with speed and athleticism of a cornerback, don't be surprised to see
Jean-Baptiste sneak into the first round.
31. Denver Broncos – Ra'Shede Hageman, Defensive Tackle,
Minnesota
Hageman had bouts of inconsistency with the Gophers. But
he's bulky, athletic and versatile. Head coach John Fox saw up close in the
Super Bowl how a dominant defensive line could impact a game plan. Hageman has
the tools to be special with some development and motivation.
32. Seattle Seahawks – Xavier Su'a-Filo, Offensive Guard,
UCLA
Su'a-Filo, with experience at guard and tackle, is ready to
play now. His power and athleticism should help the Seahawks with their
run-based offensive attack.